China Gears Up for 3G Launch

I was about to write something on the huge 3g investment by the operators and will it live up to its hype? After reading 2 articles by International Herald Tribune, and some comments by Wireless Watch Japan. In the nutshell, IHT claimed that 3g has been overhyped and the investment cost in spectrum and hardware will be hard to turn into profit in the long run - that's from Europen operators perspective. However, WWJ has another idea about this overhype issue, and the author has countered point-by-point what has the Japanese operators done right, that spurred the usage of 3g, manage to turn the technology into something that the end-consumers want to use.

That's was my initial intention, and I will leave those until the next discussion. Just came across this news by Dow Jones Newswires about the news on China 3g, and more hints have been given by the regulator in China regarding the 3g license, most likely in the first quarter 2007. This is how DJW interpreted the statement by Information Technology Minister. However, in The Standard report, the statement indicates further delay in the 3g spectrum release. (see Trials may spell further delay over 3G licenses)

China Min Says To "Steadily Start" 3G Services In 07- Xinhua BEIJING -(Dow Jones)- China will "steadily start" the long-awaited third-generation mobile services in 2007 as the conditions for launching the services are "basically ripe," the official Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday, citing a government minister. Information Technology Minister Wang Xudong said at a national working conference that China should continue the ongoing trials on the application of its homegrown TD-SCDMA technology to ensure a steady start of the 3G services in 2007. Wang's latest remarks, coming weeks after he was quoted by the China Daily as saying 3G licensing will happen "very soon," appear to signal the ministry's sense of urgency on the matter. But his comments that the conditions exist in China for the development of 3G services repeat what some Ministry of Information Industry officials have already said. Xinhua reported Wang as saying China should improve competition in the telecommunications market by allowing fixed-line operators, who face rising competition from mobile carriers, to offer mobile-phone services when the government introduces 3G. Allowing fixed-line carriers to offer mobile-phone services "appears to be very urgent," said Wang, according to the report, which didn't cite a timeframe for the licensing. The country's two key fixed-line operators, China Telecom and China Netcom Group, said earlier this month they expect 3G licensing to happen soon, with China Netcom Chief Executive Zuo Xunsheng saying: "I think it (3G licensing) is going to happen by the end of this year or in the first quarter next year." Wang said the trials on locally developed 3G technology, Time Division Synchronous Code Division Multiple Access, are proceeding smoothly and pave the way for large-scale commercial use of TD-SCDMA. He added that TD-SCDMA has great potential in China's 3G market, according to Xinhua. Analysts say China has delayed issuing 3G licenses in order to give TD-SCDMA time to develop. China has been testing the locally developed technology in five major cities, Beijing, the financial hub of Shanghai, the eastern coastal city of Qingdao, the northern city of Baoding and the southern city of Xiamen, and widened the trials to include more end-users in early November. Wang said the advent of 3G in China will lead to an investment surge and offer opportunities for growth in the whole telecommunications equipment sector, according to the Xinhua report. -By Terence Poon and Victoria Ruan; Dow Jones Newswires; 8610 6588 5848; terence.poon@dowjones.com (END) Dow Jones Newswires source: read here...

And lately the daily in China has been discussing about the potential gain that the whole country in general and the telecommunication industry in specific will benefit from with the release of 3g license sooner than later (see Who will be winners in China's 3G industry?).

Some of the highlights in the report below:

China Unicom, which is operating a CDMA network, will not face much pressures as it is relatively easier for the company to upgrade from the present network to CDMA2000, an international 3G standard.

China Mobile would face more risks as it is expected to adopt home-grown TD-SCDMA, which would require huge investment on the networks, said Yi, adding the prospect for TD-SCDMA is still vague.

"CDMA EV-DO vs. WCDMA-HSPA vs. WiMax and the winner is..." stories

CDMA Evolution Data Optimized vs. WCDMA-HSPA vs. WiMax
All those claims and counter claims, one day passes, and you will never miss about those press release, trying to convince the operators or service providers that that's THE technology, future proof, more cost efficient in term of long-term evolution, superior performance, etc

The respective camp is wooing the potential first tier service providers like Sptint-Nextel (US nationalwide mobile WiMax infrastructure rollout plan), T-Mobile-US (US nationalwide WCDMA-HSPA infrastructure announcement) which will be not be in the picture until mid-2007, KDDI emerged as the winner in the recently launched Japan Mobile Number Portability [MNP] (CDMA2000/ EV-DO technology is the winner). The stories about The United States vs. Europe, Qualcomm vs. Intel.

In each wireless technology evolution cycle, the main concerns are the service availability (network coverage), the user device choices, and affordability. The technology superiority itself will not sell to the end-consumers. In term of service availability, it is more attractive to the end-consumers if the service is available anyway and anytime. It will be frustrating to discover that after spending much money the network coverage is only available in certains locations, and not able to use it when the consumers need it most.

Depending on where the market is, the CDMA/EV-DO against WCDMA is contrastingly different in term of gap, meanwhile mobile WiMax will only be available the earliest mid-2007.

In the States, WCDMA/HSPA is playing a catch up to CDMA/EV-DO, with Cingular rolling out aggressively the WCDMA/HSPA network against Sprint-Nextel and Verizon nationwide CDMA/EV-DO coverage. However, the gap is getting narrower. (see EV-DO vs. WCDMA: who's ahead story)

In Japan these 2 technologies dominance is pretty equal, the number of subscribers with DoCoMo network (using WCDMA/HSPA) is 30.8 millions while the number of KDDI subscriber is 24.6 millions, and at a distance third is another WCDMA/HSPA operator - SoftBank Mobile with 5.3 millions subsribers.

In Europe, needless to mention, the dominant technology is WCDMA/HSPA, while in the rest of Asia Pacific, the main networks that most operators roll out are based on WCDMA/HSPA.

From the end-consumer perspective, it does not matter which technology that provides them the pipe to access the internet. What the consumer care is service availability, affordability, and usability. They do not really care which technology is the best, the future proof. (see The Inane "Which WBIA Technology is Best " War)

Most of the time, it is the marketing people in service provider that's at fault in trying too hard to sell the technology. What matter to end-consumer most is the application - how the technology could provide a bandwidth that allow them to access internet cheaply, conviniently and faster.

cdma2000/EV-DO rev A, rev B and rev C.
wcdma/hsdpa, hsupa, hspa, lte.

Wireless/Mobile Broadband In Japan

Japan : 60 millions 3G subscribers, and competition is growing with mobile number portability (MNP) kicked in in October. 2 main cellular operators; NTT DoCoMo and KDDI have seperately announced plan for the high speed data access, in which DoCoMo is using WCDMA/HSDPA while KDDI relies on CDMA2000/EV-DO Revesion A (see this report).

This is the latest wireless technology playground where WCDMA/HSDPA, UMTS TDD (also known as TD-CDMA), and CDMA2000/EV-DO were or will be deployed.

As of early this year, DoCoMo have been aggressively introducing new HSDPA capable into service, handset jointly developed by DoCoMo and its partners like Motorola, NEC and Fujitsu respectively. Watch out for the Softbank Mobile and eMobile in year 2007, these 2 operators will probably be extremely aggressive in rolling out the next generation network, and try to grab as much market share as possible.

Mobile Operators: NTT DoCoMo, Softbank, KDDI, eMobile, IP Mobile.

EV-DO Rev A to take on HSDPA in Japan. The fierce competition between Japan's three dominant mobile carriers entered a new phase August 31 when NTT DoCoMo began HSDPA service in central Tokyo with a single NEC handset capable of data packet downloads of up to 3.6 Mbps - ten times the speed of the fastest previous FOMA handsets. There is no extra charge for HSDPA service. source http://www.wirelesswatch.jp

Mobile/Wireless Broadband

One of my favourite websites that provides the latest telecom and technology news, tutorials on HSDPA, Wireless TCP/IP, and WCDMA, technology/industry trends, wireless network architecture, white papers, research paper.

It is a site about "knowldege base wireless community and resource" - as the name implies the website provide a place for those wireless professionals to share knowledge and opinions, and network; for those interested in wireless technology to understand better the technology, explained by the industry professionals.

The technologies covered mainly 3G UMTS (WCDMA, CDMA2000, CDMAOne), HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA, WiFi, WiMax, and also the packet transport protocol (TCP/IP).

This webpage consists of several subsections: News, Tutorial, Forum, and Blog.
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